That is cases of coronavirus infection, not cases of COVID-19, right?
That is correct. Not everyone infected with the virus will get the disease we call Covid-19.
According to WHO the current number of novel Coronavirus cases stands at 112 649 371. Here is the link -
https://www.who.int/emergencies/diseases/novel-coronavirus-2019
The big unknowns are around the prevalence of long Covid, its duration, its progression, and so on. It might mostly go away. We are only presuming its either ME or ME-like. We are still unable to say for sure its not regular post viral fatigue plus specific damage to organs by the virus.
I have repeatedly read of asymptomatic patients with long Covid, or presumed long Covid. There is still not good epidemiology on this. There does not seem to be a proven strong association between severity of Covid infection and subsequent long Covid. I could be wrong of course, there is a lot of info out there and not all of it is accurate, and long term epidemiology is still being done. Now I expect there is probably a strong association between lung scarring, blood clots etc. and severity and duration of infection. These are post Covid problems that may or may not be at the core of long Covid. It is not clear that there is not a separate entity, ME-like at least, that is causing issues. These questions will not be resolved for some years yet. It might even be a decade before we have reliable long-term data.
My suspicion, far from proven, is that long Covid is about the immune response and consequences, not the severity of infection. I do expect some degree of association, as it would be expected that a worse infection might lead to a stronger immune response, but its not clear it will be a strong association. Lots of patients not officially diagnosed with Covid-19 are claiming to be long haulers. I have no reason to doubt them as yet. It might be that there are those with long term consequences of blood clots and other Coronavirus damage, and then there are those who have an ME-like illness. Heck we might even be seeing another ME pandemic, but its being confused by the presence of the Coronavirus. There is also the issue that many who have not been hospitalized have detectable damage that was not causing major symptoms, sometimes from blood clots. I have no idea how many this applies to.
Epidemiology based only upon hospitalized cases of Covid-19 may or may not be a good idea in the long run. Certainly it needs to be done. Its just looking like its not enough to really grasp what is going on.
There are a lot of unknowns right now. Its why I keep using qualifiers on my remarks.
I am treating this entire thread as speculative. Its still far too soon to have reliable data.