UK NICE 2021 ME/CFS Guideline, published 29th October - post-publication discussion

Building on a couple of Facebook posts I made, and drawing on various comments here, I started to draft a response to the Royal Colleges’ joint statement. Now deciding I will not achieve the eloquence of either a Brian Hughes, a David Tuller or our own ME Skeptic duo, and that it may be weeks before I have another burst of intellectual clarity (obviously a diagnostic indicator of FND), I will park my first rough draft here:

In response to the medical Royal Colleges joint statement:

Interestingly the first appearance of this statement, on the Royal College of Physicians website, the title referred to ‘medical leaders’ signing the statement, but it was posted without any names attached, at least these anonymous signatories were subsequently revealed in the BMJ (see the latest S4ME News in brief for all the relevant links).

So they had been doing something they called GET, and had been explicitly using the PACE trail, with a clear definition of what GET is, as evidence in support of that.

However, now they claim they haven’t been doing GET for much of that time. So when did they realise that PACE type GET was no good and stop using it? Why did they then not stop citing the PACE trial as not only supporting their methods, but also justifying extending their methods to other clinical groupings including the dubious diagnoses of FND and MUS, and also now to Long Covid?

When did they realise PACE type GET was ineffective and potentially harmful? Why did they not then start recording harms in the clinics they are involved with, and start warning patients of risks from misapplied exertion? Either way they were doing GET knowing it might harm people, or they were not doing GET but calling it GET and not telling people of this change. Can they be said to have had informed consent for their interventions if people don’t know what they were doing and did not know of the potential risks involved?

If they have this new therapeutic intervention, that is not GET, that they now claim works, at least for some, why have they not been recording long term outcomes, not been recording harms? Most specialist services have been demonstrated not to have any reasonable mechanisms for recording harms, and do not follow up on people who stop attending, who refuse treatment, other than that is the paediatric services who may follow up refusal of treatment with accusations of inducing illness by the parents and institute child protection procedures, and do not undertake any follow up for people discharged after completion of their interventions.

The Surveys of what specialist services did, until this summer reported high levels of use of GET, whereas the survey reported this Summer reports low levels of use of GET. However this was only after serious questions had been more widely raised about the reliability of the original PACE conclusions, after NICE had published their evidence review finding the various GET studies of low or very low quality and after it became obvious NICE would be withdrawing their endorsement of PACE type GET.

If this new ‘not GET’ intervention works, where is the evidence for it? It is claimed that they provide evidence based interventions, but the only research evidence out there relates to PACE type GET which they now say they didn’t do.

Interestingly they reject evidence of harms from GET as valueless because it is anecdotal, even though there are now thousands of anecdotes in the form of fully reported surveys, including most recently one commissioned by NICE [added - error of fact, it was Forward ME that commissioned this survey] involving people that been having what they believed to be GET within the British NHS. Presumably then many of these people, if GET is no longer done, have been having this new ‘not GET’, and are still reporting harms.

In contrast these eminent physicians and psychiatrists want us to allow them to continue their new ‘not GET’ without any evidence, just their own clinical observations, that is, their own undocumented and unreported anecdotes. How is this acceptable when patient anecdote, systematically recorded through surveys and openly published is not?

This is the medical Royal Colleges ‘great and good’ demanding to be allowed to treat on the basis of their own personal beliefs without any evidence base. I don’t see how this is any different to their predecessors who wanted to continue blood letting through incisions and applying leeches on the basis of their personal clinical experience, also arguing that stopping bleeding would leave their patients/victims without any treatment or hope.

Unless I am very delusional there are major problems in the Royal Colleges’ logic, and what they are advocating is certainly not Science, not even medical science.

It has been argued to that their preferred interventions help in conditions, that co occur with ME, so to lose GET for ME means these comorbities must go untreated.

In the ‘many comorbid conditions’ that ‘GET’, whatever that may mean when used by these ‘great and the good’, has supposedly been shown to help, either by citing the original PACE trial as justification or using studies of identical design to PACE, ie studies of low or very low quality. So I would question whether they have any meaningful evidence base for using it for those conditions either?

However over looking that, because a treatment works in one condition, that is no justification for using it in a co occurring condition where it has been demonstrated to be harmful. The logic of this would justify the continued use of thalidomide in women who previously may have benefited from it, when they become pregnant.

There is in extraordinary circumstances justification for using a treatment known to involve harm, where it is demonstrable that the benefits outweigh the harm. However this is only acceptable where the patient knows the risks and is able to make an informed choice based on quantified risk.

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Good stuff, @Peter Trewhitt. :thumbup:

"There are some side effects associated with the treatment of CSF (sic). These may include the following:

You will experience an initial increase in symptoms. This is natural, as in being consistent you will be being active when you don't feel like it. You will get more muscle ache, more fatigue etc. Remember - this is the bodies normal response, it does not mean a relapse of your illness. Providing that everything has been done gradually, and you have not been over ambitious, this should not be too painful, and it should pass after a few weeks at most".

https://www.kcl.ac.uk/ioppn/depts/pm/research/cfs/patients/self-help
Noted for future legal proceedings.

Even more shocked at the blatant bias of BMJ simply republishing it verbatim. Is it always that prejudiced?!!!
Yes. :grumpy:
 
I started to draft a response to the Royal Colleges’ joint statement.
It’s good that you’re doing this. I noticed you make this point in your draft and in the comments of David Tuller’s latest blog:
Interestingly they reject evidence of harms from GET as valueless because it is anecdotal, even though there are now thousands of anecdotes in the form of fully reported surveys, including most recently one commissioned by NICE involving people that been having what they believed to be GET within the British NHS. Presumably then many of these people, if GET is no longer done, have been having this new ‘not GET’, and are still reporting harms.
(my bold)

It’s a really good point. I hope you manage to finish your letter and send it in, and if you ‘d like to get that done sooner I’m sure members would help if you want.
 
Building on a couple of Facebook posts I made, and drawing on various comments here, I started to draft a response to the Royal Colleges’ joint statement. Now deciding I will not achieve the eloquence of either a Brian Hughes, a David Tuller or our own ME Skeptic duo, and that it may be weeks before I have another burst of intellectual clarity (obviously a diagnostic indicator of FND), I will park my first rough draft here:



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NICE didn't commission the survey; Forward ME did. That's an error of fact which has been repeated a few times. We should be as accurate as we can.
 
Following on from Brian Hughes incisive piece on the role of the medical Royal College, @dave30th has publish tonight a further Trial By Error blog pulling apart the defences mounted by two PACE authors and the contents of the joint Royal Colleges statement:



see https://www.virology.ws/2021/10/31/...28Lx6gYGCqysEaBcjJV2phKxMOHdZJvdtttUnfDsjBL-s

As always a joy to read. Let’s hope these ‘medical leaders’ are reading Brian and David’s pieces and feeling suitably foolish, though unfortunately logic and even ridicule may be unlikely to dent their misplaced sense of entitlement that is positively Old Etonian in its scale.
Brilliant as always thank you @dave30th

@rvallee comment underneath... my bolding
But they want the guidelines to say it’s curative, while pretending they never meant it’s curative. And pretending there is evidence for it, which they can’t provide, but they know so it’s OK. It’s just layers of insanity. Like a lasagna of madness, or something.
"a lasagne of madness"!!! :laugh::laugh::laugh:
 
Have we a thread about this? https://www.ox.ac.uk/news/2021-10-29-oxford-test-potential-treatment-fatigue-long-covid-patients

<blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">What do you think of Oxford uni being able to trial this drug so quickly for exact same symptoms of exertional fatigue &amp; muscle weakness in long covid? Do u agree that BPS narratives &amp; over promo of CBT/GET deterred this type of initiative for mecfs?<a href="https://t.co/MomZ6p1lhw">https://t.co/MomZ6p1lhw</a></p>&mdash; Kerry Newnham (@Squashedhedgi) <a href="">November 1, 2021</a></blockquote> <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
 
I think the NICE policy of having guideline development groups largely consisting of self styled experts in the field is pretty disastrous. Look what happened in 2007 to ME. Look what's happened with Chronic pain and Long Covid.

Even this welcome new ME guideline is a compromise in which in order to get agreement to scrap GET and directive CBT, which are huge wins I'm grateful for, they had to allow sections on CBT for managing activity and physical exercise programs, neither of which is evidence based. In the wrong hands these will lead to ongoing harm, despite the vitally important proviso that they must be done within the pateint's energy limits. So many of us don't realise we've exceeded our limits until it's too late.

I think particularly for conditions where there is no biomarker, and where there is any disagreement over how to treat it, guideline committees should not include anyone who is involved in delivering the treatments under review, or who has been involved in the research under review.

Such people could be invited to give 'expert testimony' to the review committee, so their views are heard, but they shouldn't have a say in what is decided or even be in the room when contested areas are being discussed and able to sway the committee.

I think guideline committees in those circumstances should consist largely of clinicians with wide expertise in reviewing evidence from clinical trials of all types across a wide range of fields of medicine, and probably of carrying out such trials in another field of medicine - people like Jonathan Edwards, for example, who have clinical and research experience, but not directly related to the condition under review.

They should also include some expert patients (and carers possibly) who both have understanding of clininical trials, and can help the committee understand the condition under review and the care needs of people with the condition.

And if necessary the committees should have the capacity to commission surveys of patients, and testimony from patients, to assess harms and to assess unmet care needs.

What guideline committees should not include is a large proportion of self styled experts in a contested field, some or all of whom have professional reputations, careers, their own research, and in some cases financial interests, tied up in evidence under review and the outcome of the resulting guideline.

NICE seems to have a very limited 'conflict of interest' definition. Why are the above things I've listed not immediate reasons for exclusion from guideline committees?
 
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I was thinking of what we need to concentrate on now post publication. Not sure if we have one or need a new thread?

This was my list but sure to be more. Not in order of priority

1. Stop the clinics being able to carry out poor quality or dangerous CBT and GET research
2. Stop the clinics carrying out bogus surveys
3. Commission new better services
4. Audit current services to see if compliant to the new guideline
5. Join Commissioning groups and Patient groups to try and influence
6. Check when the new NICE guideline will be updated (10 years?)
7. Cochrane - keep plugging
8. Commission proper research
9. NHS webpage - update to current guideline
10. Educate GPs on the new Guideline
11. Educate current patients and new patients to make them aware of new guidelines
 
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Further overnight thoughts about the Royal Colleges' awful statement and BMJ publishing it and any replies.

I think this RC's statement and some of the same organisations' submissions to the draft consultation have revealed something rotten at the heart of British medicine, and that something is -

- a belief that exercise and positive thinking (CBT) are always helpful to health and never cause harm

- a complete lack of grasp of what post exertional malaise is and the effects of triggering it on long term health

- a belief that their clinical experience trumps clinical trial evidence

- a belief that they know which treatment is best for which patient and the have expertise that enables them to 'personalise' their advice to patients

- disdain for people with unexplained symptoms, including those with ME/CFS

- a belief that medically unexplained equals psychosomatic

- a lack of understanding that patients saying a polite thank you and going away doesn't equate to the treatment working

- a lack of curiosity about the long term effectiveness of and of harms of what their clinics do. So no follow up of patients or recording of harms.

What that all adds up to is lack of understanding of the need for sound evidence. There is far too much misplaced confidence in 'doctor knows best', and what the doctor 'knows' in this case is based largely on current fads about exercise and positive thinking.
 
I think the NICE policy of having guideline development groups largely consisting of self styled experts in the field is pretty disastrous. Look what happened in 2007 to ME. Look what's happened with Chronic pain and Long Covid.

Even this welcome new ME guideline is a compromise in which in order to get agreement to scrap GET and directive CBT, which are huge wins I'm grateful for, they had to allow sections on CBT for managing activity and physical exercise programs, neither of which is evidence based. In the wrong hands these will lead to ongoing harm, despite the vitally important proviso that they must be done within the pateint's energy limits. So many of us don't realise we've exceeded our limits until it's too late.

I think particularly for conditions where there is no biomarker, and where there is any disagreement over how to treat it, guideline committees should not include anyone who is involved in delivering the treatments under review, or who has been involved in the research under review.

Such people could be invited to give 'expert testimony' to the review committee, so their views are heard, but they shouldn't have a say in what is decided or even be in the room when contested areas are being discussed and able to sway the committee.

I think guideline committees in those circumstances should consist largely of clinicians with wide expertise in reviewing evidence from clinical trials of all types across a wide range of fields of medicine, and probably of carrying out such trials in another field of medicine - people like Jonathan Edwards, for example, who have clinical and research experience, but not directly related to the condition under review.

They should also include some expert patients (and carers possibly) who both have understanding of clininical trials, and can help the committee understand the condition under review and the care needs of people with the condition.

And if necessary the committees should have the capacity to commission surveys of patients, and testimony from patients, to assess harms and to assess unmet care needs.

What guideline committees should not include is a large proportion of self styled experts in a contested field, some or all of whom have professional reputations, careers, their own research, and in some cases financial interests, tied up in evidence under review and the outcome of the resulting guideline.

NICE seems to have a very limited 'conflict of interest' definition. Why are the above things I've listed not immediate reasons for exclusion from guideline committees?
The systematic evidence review part (ie. the GRADE ratings) of the guideline could be done by people without any involvement in the treatment of the condition, although even then domain knowledge is useful for determining which outcomes are of interest, and other relevant factors like the diagnostic criteria and outcome measures. The actual recommendations part of the process involves weighing up a great deal of different factors and I get the impression that a deep understanding of the condition and its treatment would be essential for putting together a sensible guideline. I don't really see how you can get away from needing people with clinical experience with the condition on the committee.

But perhaps there are things which can be done to minimise bias, like only involving disinterested people in certain parts of the process, or careful selection of the committee
 
Sorry, yet more incoherent ramblings. I promise this will be the last one for a while. I'll go away and watch some rubbish on TV. I'm really too exhausted to think but I seem to have built up a head of steam overnight so I need to let it blow out here.

On the subject of writing rapid responses to the Royal Colleges' statement.

I think we need to let their own words and solid evidence make the argument for us:

- a few choice quotes from the RC's submissions to the draft consultation, to show up their lack of scientific approach, prejudices and lack of understanding of ME

- a clear definition of PEM from a reputable source

- a link to some evidence about the effects of execise on PwME,

- some data from the BACME survey about what is currently being done in clinics that shows most are still doing graded activity increases,

- a link to Brian Hughes latest piece on LP,

- a link to Graham McPhee et al's research showing clinics don't follow up patients.

I think this sort of evidence is a more effective counter to the RC's statement rather than trying to out-argue them just with our own words.
 
I guess I am the only regular member here to have been at the round table. My memory is that all present were asked if they approved of publication of the guideline and there was no dissent.

This suggests that at least four people have a complete contempt for NICE's process.

This is useful if the other side try to go for a Judicial Review of the new Guideline. They were given an opportunity to air any concerns. That they chose silence would hopefully act against them if they are planning legal action now.
 
I was thinking of what we need to concentrate on now post publication. Not sure if we have it need a new thread?

This was my list but sure to be more. Not in order of priority

6. Check when the new NICE guideline will be updated (10 years?)


The NICE Guideline Process and methods manual chapter on updating is here:

https://www.nice.org.uk/process/pmg20/chapter/updating-guidelines

Process and methods
14 Updating guidelines
 
The systematic evidence review part (ie. the GRADE ratings) of the guideline could be done by people without any involvement in the treatment of the condition, although even then domain knowledge is useful for determining which outcomes are of interest, and other relevant factors like the diagnostic criteria and outcome measures. The actual recommendations part of the process involves weighing up a great deal of different factors and I get the impression that a deep understanding of the condition and its treatment would be essential for putting together a sensible guideline. I don't really see how you can get away from needing people with clinical experience with the condition on the committee.

But perhaps there are things which can be done to minimise bias, like only involving disinterested people in certain parts of the process, or careful selection of the committee

The GRADE process and systematic review is done by a technical team not the committee but the committee provide some guidance.
 
The actual recommendations part of the process involves weighing up a great deal of different factors and I get the impression that a deep understanding of the condition and its treatment would be essential for putting together a sensible guideline. I don't really see how you can get away from needing people with clinical experience with the condition on the committee.

But perhaps there are things which can be done to minimise bias, like only involving disinterested people in certain parts of the process, or careful selection of the committee
I agree in theory the committee should have people with a deep understanding of the condition but that doesn't at present equate with those currently treating patients in clinics.

I agree that exceptional doctors like Nigel Speight have such knowledge, but it is clear that the likes of Crawley, Chalder, et al who actually run the clinics seem to have very limited understanding or even dangerous misunderstanding. That's worse than useless.

If those selecting the guideline committee can't tell the difference, we're stuffed, to put it crudely.
 
Sorry if this is off topic, but somewhere on this thread (i think) there are some quotes from the PACE trial therapists manuals on GET/CBT, but i've spent all my available strenght trying to find them. I need them for something & hoping the poster, or indeed anyone else, might see this & be able to directme to the post or the manuals themselves at somme point pls
 
Sorry if this is off topic, but somewhere on this thread (i think) there are some quotes from the PACE trial therapists manuals on GET/CBT, but i've spent all my available strenght trying to find them. I need them for something & hoping the poster, or indeed anyone else, might see this & be able to directme to the post or the manuals themselves at somme point pls
https://www.s4me.info/threads/the-pace-trial.22088/

eta: tag 'pace trial'
 
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