Subtropical Island
Senior Member (Voting Rights)
Has anyone found any recently updated data on surface transmission, and/or if delta is different in this regard?
My review of googled publications suggests that delta is not dramatically mutated from past covid-19 (so reasonable to assume it will behave much the same until proven otherwise),
the main differences (identifed and verified so far ETA I mean just that there’s limited delta variant specific published info that I could find due to timescale) being that
significantly more of the virus is produced in the lungs
(so the odds of transmission go way up, making fleeting indoor contact more likely to result in exposure and transmission)
and the time from exposure to being contagious yourself is significantly shorter (more likely to transmit in the early stages when you don’t realise it’s important).
This greater density of virus means that some of the earlier predictions about surface transmission are more reasonable (remember those trials where they sprayed heaps of virus on surfaces and tested them later? - but then reviewers pointed out that the concentration of virus in the spray was greater than a realworld sneeze was likely to provide - now it’s a better model for delta perhaps).
At this stage it seems unlikely to be more than that, just more (ETA: density, not necessarily more durability than statisitics gives it) than the lower level governments have since grown accustomed to.
Just my gleaning of research findings plus supposition, not authoritative.
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