As far as I can see, the abnormalities found here could be unrelated to exertion. Or did I miss something?
I agree. I'd have expected, in metabolites that might tell us something about PEM, that either the level in the controls would be high, the level in the people with ME/CFS who reported a low level of PEM symptoms in the last seven days would be lower and the level in the people with ME/CFS who reported a high level of PEM symptoms would be lower still. Or vice versa.
Instead, it's the people with ME/CFS with low recent PEM who look most different to the controls. Of the 12 serum and urine metabolites reported in Table 2, only one, phenylalanine, follows the expected pattern. I've charted the figures here:
With results like that, I'm wondering how useful the two categories of people with ME/CFS are; whether the criteria for the categories really do distinguish between people still showing the effects of PEM; or whether these metabolites have anything to do with PEM.
Later in the paper there's a suggestion of a physical process associated with PEM that might be confounding metabolite levels:
the paper said:
These data show a significant renal concentrating issue is occurring in the ME/CFS group during a PEM event and this was principally related to urea and acetate.
the paper said:
Thus the 7-day severity of PEM was associated with an increased urinary excretion of metabolites within the ME/CFS group and this was associated with a reduction in multiple serum metabolites including leucine.
The figures given for urine acetate and urine urea were:
Urine acetate: Control 92; No PEM 37; PEM 63
Urine urea: Control 7969; No PEM 4868; PEM 5821
I'm not really sure if they have something here or not. I need to read the paper again. There were quite a lot of metabolites tested and then they did a lot of different things with the figures; absolute levels, percentage of metabolites, ratios, correlation with the 7 day PEM score (in both whole group and just the ME/CFS group) and with the 12 month frequency of PEM score.
To be fair to the authors, they aren't claiming to be sure if they have something here or not either. Just that it's worth looking at some of these things some more.