Paul Garner on Long Covid and ME/CFS - BMJ articles and other media.

I am puzzled by Garner's account, and the timeline. From the early posts it seems that he became ill in early March. He says he was referred to an ME specialist seven months later. That would be October. He had to wait for the appointment. Let's guess at end of October. After a couple of months he went on holiday and contracted Dengue fever. So that would be December. Was travel to Dengue prone areas recommended at such time? He returns home exhausted. Are we into January yet? Now he is recovered, for the umpteenth time.

When was it that Greenhalge first announced his recovery?

And Dengue was mentioned in one of the original blogs.

It is all very odd.

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If I remember rightly Garner did not quote heated responses, he quoted the people who over-egged the 'physical' side with mast cell activation and whatnot. That is what I think needs to be avoided and nobody here is making that mistake.

As far as I can see nobody here is saying Garner is evil, in the way that perhaps has occurred in the past. It is more that we think he is demonstrating incompetence in his professed field.

I haven't been following this but I'm wondering if someone can explain what these words refer to "over-egged the 'physical' side with mast cell activation and whatnot"? Thanks
 
And Dengue was mentioned in one of the original blogs.
It is all very odd.
Yes, it is. In an early blog, he talked about getting dengue and post-viral fatigue.
https://blogs.bmj.com/bmj/2020/05/19/paul-garner-covid-19-and-fatigue-a-game-of-snakes-and-ladders/
I have had post-viral fatigue in the past with dengue and it just slowed me down, but this was somehow different.
And he seems to have gone on holiday during 2020 and got it again.


Here's my contribution to the BMJ comments:

I'm surprised that Paul Garner, as an expert in infectious diseases, does not seem to be aware of key studies of recovery after the development of post-infective fatigue syndromes, such as the 2006 Dubbo study (Hickie et al). This prospective study considered three diseases known to cause post-infective fatigue syndromes. It concluded:
"Prolonged illness characterised by disabling fatigue, musculoskeletal pain, neurocognitive difficulties, and mood disturbance was evident in 29 (12%) of 253 participants at six months, of whom 28 (11%) met the diagnostic criteria for chronic fatigue syndrome."
"The case rate for provisional post-infective fatigue syndrome was 35% (87/250) at six weeks, 27% (67/250) at three months, 12% (29/250) at six months, and 9% (22/250) at 12 months."

That's 35% affected at six weeks and only 9% at one year, with followup finding that the prevalence continued to drop significantly over the next year. The people who recovered did so naturally, without any treatments or pep-talks.

So, Paul Garner always had a very good chance of recovering. Perhaps the advice he received to take things easy initially helped, I don't know. But, regardless, his recovery was not miraculous or remarkable. It is what happens most of the time. That a person with his scientific training and supposed commitment to evidence is attributing his recovery to his attitude is astonishing.

We don't know why some people don't recover from PVFS/ME/CFS. There is absolutely no evidence that it is because of a poor attitude, fear of exercise or deconditioning. Most people who have been sick with this illness for any substantial length of time have tried exercising, thinking positively and all manner of other things. Paul Garner is causing enormous harm in promoting the idea that it is only those lacking in moral fibre and/or who spend too much time thinking about their illness who don't recover.

I hope he remembers just how devastating the illness was, and then thinks of the people who endure both it, sometimes for decades, and the stigma that he has now contributed to.​
 
I haven't been following this but I'm wondering if someone can explain what these words refer to "over-egged the 'physical' side with mast cell activation and whatnot"? Thanks

Not what you asked, but...

While I completely agree with @Jonathan Edwards that there can be the risk of overegging, it seems to me that the medical community faces a balancing act that necessarily depends on cognitive dissonance, to manage the reality of decision making requirements Vs unknown/known uncertainty.

But here's the crux. Some minds, including professionally accomplished minds, are particularly unable to manage that cognitive dissonance. It's human.

This is not a point specific to ME at all. It is the balance between 1) self-policing of apparently settled consensus Vs 2) the reality of perpetually shifting sands, often with findings that place the consensus in question.

This is true in most fields, but medicine is an industrialised effort to apply scientific findings, especially with top down orgs like NICE, CDC, etc. These are required features with pluses, sure, and downsides of reinforcing that necessary/inherent cognitive dissonance. Sometimes less, where ideas are beyond nascent/nonsense, and sometimes more, where thinking is solidifying.

This will always be a challenge, as marketplaces of ideas and findings will keep finding and rebalancing equilibria. A constant ebb and flow.
 
I am puzzled by Garner's account, and the timeline. From the early posts it seems that he became ill in early March. He says he was referred to an ME specialist seven months later. That would be October. He had to wait for the appointment. Let's guess at end of October. After a couple of months he went on holiday and contracted Dengue fever. So that would be December. Was travel to Dengue prone areas recommended at such time? He returns home exhausted. Are we into January yet? Now he is recovered, for the umpteenth time.

When was it that Greenhalge first announced his recovery?

And Dengue was mentioned in one of the original blogs.

It is all very odd.

EDIT typos
Yes, the thing about Dengue is very strange. This is what he was quoted as saying about long covid in May having been ill with COVID in March "The best parallel [for long covid] is dengue fever, Garner suggests – a “ghastly” viral infection of the lymph nodes which he also contracted. “Dengue comes and goes. It’s like driving around with a handbrake on for six to nine months.”

Why was he going on holiday and exposing himself to Dengue again? During a pandemic...?? So so weird
 
Trish, Can I suggest that you post a link below his blog to that article (rapid response?) that I seem to remember you wrote which cautioned about taking too much notice of anecdotal accounts, and (as far as I recall) made the point that when people recover naturally they often attribute that recovery to whatever whacky therapy they’re trying at the time.

Couldn't find it on the forum and neither on BMJ now, but also remember that it was brilliant and I think it would be a very helpful response now, too.

Does anyone recall where it was posted or has the capacity to find it?
 
It's interesting that now he has 'recovered' he claims he met the ME/CFS criteria. Prior to this, he was quite resistant to the idea that he might have a post-viral syndrome let alone ME/CFS.

If this is the case, then he should have made a statement that he was misdiagnosed with ME and recovered from PVFS. That is the responsible thing to do as a health professional.

This is another disservice to the ME community from the 'stars' of social media.
 
Edit to add – I’d recommend ignoring him on Twitter. Best not to attract attention to him, or worse – attract trolls.
I didn’t want to draw attention to PG’s nonsense but I decided to quote share TG’s tweet because I think it’s important that people with long covid (quite a few of whom follow me on Twitter) know her views.

Now that there are some excellent replies under Garner’s blog I hope that will mitigate the damage he’s done. Remember you can upvote the best ones so they go to the top – I’ve upvoted Trish’s and will upvote Hutan’s excellent response when it appears.



[Edit to add that I’ve now been blocked by TG along with just about everybody else with ME/CFS it seems.]
 
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I wonder through, could the early intervention of the ME community connecting LC with ME actually have been harmful, unintentionally?

I know many on Twitter stressed that pwLC have to be studied to find out who has symptoms due to organ damage, who has post intensive care syndrome, who has PVFS and who really fits the ME criteria.

But warnings from the ME community maybe really had some people become anxious and thereby feeding to S. Wessely and BPS narrative. It's a catch 22 - our community has the obligation to speak up (for pwLC as well as us) but by doing so we risk shooting ourselves in the foot. Cause what stucks is "ME" (never ending) not "PVFS" (self limiting).

Having said that, P. Garner must know about PVFS, he said he has had it before and recovered. But he chose to go with "I fit ME criteria and recovered".
 
Found it.
https://www.bmj.com/content/370/bmj.m3026/rr-7
I'll sort out posting a comment with a link to it later today.
Done and awaiting acceptance. I posted it as a reply to my earlier comment. Here's what I said:
After posting this comment, it struck me that this is precisely the sort of situation I warned about last September in my Rapid Response to Professor Greenhalgh's BMJ article about post acute Covid-19 [1].

Little did I know then that my warning would be needed more than ever now. To quote myself:

"People with ME/CFS are battered on all sides by a persuasive mix of treatments promoted on the basis of professional eminence, charisma, or compelling anecdotes, but devoid of good research evidence of efficacy or safety."

I even linked to an article by professor of psychology, Brian Hughes, about one such quack therapy similar to that described by Professor Garner. [2]

I am shocked that Professor Garner, an expert on evidence based medicine, should use the BMJ to promote such a treatment purely on the basis of his own anecdote. I hope, on reflection, he will see the harm this is likely to cause, and withdraw his article.

References:
[1] Re: Management of post-acute covid-19 in primary care - A warning to Post Covid sufferers and their clinicians, by Patricia Davis, 2020.
https://www.bmj.com/content...
[2] Two takes on the expensive, unproven, and childishly-named quackery known as the Lightning Process, by Professor Brian Hughes, 2020
https://thesciencebit.net/2...
 
We can sympathise with garner as a person but not as a self-satisfied professional.

Let's be straight about this, what he says is the equivalent of saying 'don't listen to all the patients whose cancer has spread and is incurable, they just can't cope, listen to those who got better by stroking crystals'.

I may well write a response. I think he should retract this and apologise.
As comments below blogs can be overlooked by many I wonder if you, or anyone else (@dave30th @Caroline Struthers @Michiel Tack @Tom Kindlon @Carolyn Wilshire??) might consider submitting your own opinion blog in response, which is likely to be more widely read. I would be happy to help anyone doing this but I’m not up to doing it myself at the moment unfortunately.

There is info on how to submit a BMJ opinion article or blog here: https://www.bmj.com/content/bmj-opinion.

In the meantime I am going to try to submit a short formal complaint to the BMJ, requesting a retraction and apology.
 
I submitted this to the BMJ blog, it's still awaiting moderation several hours later:

I am glad that Professor Garner has recovered from his illness, and I do hope that his recovery will be permanent. I am, however, concerned that he claims that his recovery from ME/CFS has been facilitated by basically saying to himself, 'There's nothing intrinsically wrong; my body was giving out false signals. I have suppressed them by thinking them away.'

I have had ME/CFS, contracted after a dose of flu, for 16 years. I, as with others with ME/CFS, have been subjected to a veritable barrage of such stories of miraculous cures, and, like the others whose health has never recovered or actually deteriorated further, mental persuasion has had no effect whatsoever. Not only are there a whole host of expensive private therapists offering this, but NHS treatment has been under the influence of what we ME/CFS cases cynically but accurately call the 'all in your head' school or the 'Wesselyans', after the psychiatrist Professor Simon Wessely, who, no doubt in good faith, decades back established this school of thought when the condition first came into view.

Some people have recovered from what was diagnosed as, or what they thought was, ME/CFS; there is always the possibility that they had a condition with similar symptoms but from which recovery is possible. Recovery from ME/CFS is, however, depressingly low; full recovery is a tiny percentage, and mainly children; a fair recovery is rare; most people do not recover more than just a little, and the many deteriorate further.

The Corona Virus is a new phenomenon, the 'long hauler' is thus also a new phenomenon. There is so much that we have to learn about the long-term impact of the virus. That a large number of corona virus cases have resulted in their getting ME/CFS-type symptoms is not surprising to me, seeing what happened to myself and many other people with ME/CFS whom I know. It is possible that the 'long haulers', or some of them, have ME/CFS; it's also possible that they, or some of them, have ME/CFS-type symptoms that are related to some other, maybe new, condition. A great deal of research will need to be done before anything concrete can be established.

In the meantime, I hope that Professor Garner's recovery is complete and that he won't suffer any relapse. But at a time when -- finally! -- the NICE has just issued revised draft guidelines on ME/CFS that propose a sharp break from the stranglehold of the Wesselyans, the last thing we with this debilitating condition require is somebody claiming that he's cured his ME/CFS by thinking it away.
 
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