Which is why I was put-off by the somewhat overly-critical sentiment coming from this thread about a med originally developed for psychiatric conditions that might be repurposed for MECFS. Fine to criticize the shortcomings of the published study. But not fine to criticize the concept that Abilify might be useful in treating the symptoms of MECFS. If you think the study is flawed then you can’t make any conclusions one way or another. That means you can’t conclude that it has a very low likelihood of helping patients.
Given that it has been suggested that I have been too negative about Ablify, I want to try to explain my reasoning:
Over a quarter of the participants either didn't improve or worsened for
every outcome, or had side effects that led to withdrawal. Think about that - coming to a specialist ME/CFS treatment centre for multiple visits and reporting not improving, not even a little bit, on any of fatigue, brain fog, unrefreshing sleep, or frequency of PEM outcomes. These people aren't just receiving Ablify - they are also being treated with a range of other medications and presumably being given good advice on how to manage their illness. Many people will have been motivated to seek treatment when their illness was worst and would improve naturally with time anyway.
With that context, the average reported improvement in fatigue from the 75 people in the 'responder' group doesn't seem very remarkable. Only 66 people contributed fatigue data from the 75 - it seems likely that there was a cherry picking effect here and the 9 'responders' who didn't contribute fatigue data had a worse fatigue outcome than those who did. The average change in reported fatigue in the 66 people from the responder group was from around 6 to around 3 on an 11 point subjective scale. So - two thirds of the participants in the study reported an average of an improvement from 'somewhat bad fatigue' to 'not too bad fatigue', with some no doubt doing better, and some doing worse. It's likely that more than one third of 101 participants either didn't report on fatigue, or reported no change or a worsening in fatigue. This is despite all the other care that they were receiving at the clinic and the powerful incentive to feel that their decision to go to the clinic was worth it.
And that's just the fatigue outcome. The numbers of people contributing data to results vary, and there are things that aren't clear.
There's nothing there suggesting to me that Ablify did anything remarkable or even anything at all over and above what time, good advice on pacing and perhaps other drugs for pain and sleep would have done. But, I can't rule out the possibility that Ablify did significantly help a subset of people.
I support a blinded trial, as I do for any drug that clinicians are suggesting is a treatment for ME/CFS. I continue to believe that encouraging people to take Ablify outside trials is not warranted by this data.
Just for the record, I am not negative about the chances of Ablify being the treatment we are all hoping for because it's a psychiatric drug. I have a problem with the BPS idea that it is my and my children's lack of will to get better that keeps us sick. I don't believe that psychiatric illnesses, for example, schizophrenia, are caused by a lack of will to get better either, I think there are biological causes - and so I have no problem at all with a drug that successfully treats psychiatric illness being proposed as a treatment for ME/CFS.