Marco
Senior Member (Voting Rights)
As @Jonathan Edwards has said this is a % game.
So if your 90% right, and R naught reduces to less than 1, then the outbreak cannot be sustained.
On the other hand sitting on your ass and doing nothing, since the test isn't 100%, well you can see the results in the UK.
Presumably you'd also pick up the positive health care worker*/positive member of the public via contact tracing --- oh if you did it!
*EDIT: The changes of two consecutive tests giving false negative (if the test is 90% accurate) would be 0.1 X 0.1 i.e. 1 in a hundred.
No-one is sitting on their ass.
On the other hand imagine this.
Public/media pressure results in such political pressure that governments worldwide decide they have no alternative to go for mass population testing in some sort of numbers game where everyone tries to match or exceed what Germany had been doing.
We know there is already a worldwide shortage of the necessary testing materials. How long will they last if everyone decides to do mass testing?
You would soon be in the position where you can't even test key sector workers and what will the result then be?