If we get a treatment, we'll need outcomes that can handle people with really significant improvements as well as minor ones. And worsening and/or new symptoms, of course.
What we're really crying out for is data gathered over time—years, not just weeks or months. Proper hospital clinics gather this, but it isn't done systematically for people with ME/CFS.
The ME/CFS and Long Covid clinics could do so much more good by diagnosing people, then saying there's no treatment but we want to follow your progress. There'd be no incentive to fudge the outcomes, and the information would be genuinely useful.
[Minor edits for sense]
Yes it’s hilarious but not isn’t it. If it is a medical clinic then appointment might be a few times a year. Certain aspects of the blood will only change every 3months for example like red blood cells so you wouldn’t test something related to that two weeks in and expect an answer to tell you that means something has or hasn’t got worse.
I think if we think of the illness underlying of me/cfs then the change is eg at a year where you know it’s definitely a different severity and not a bout of PEM or a longer crash (because I won’t use the term relapse anymore when it’s not relapse) BUT I think ALL of those preceding months in the year leading up contributed to it eg by being over-threshold (whether PEM triggering or not, just ‘riding limits’) or not giving enough depth and length of recovery time from something more acute
and by me saying a year, I of course don’t mean it’ll go away or stay static (if continued over threshold) because that means a lower threshold comes with it.
so somehow the energy stuff needs to manage to capture nearly all that could affect us in that lead up (impact in) then see if we are as capable and unwell as we were the year before or we are a bit less due to the adaptation effect (there’s a better term a paper used for this somewhere)
if any markers do then happens to ally to either of these it feels like it would be a clue. But we don’t know where or what they’d be and the complication of course is that if the testing process involves things that cause short term over threshold then that could obscure the picture (all you are comparing is someone finding the journey to blood test easier than last time or vice versa when actually a different markers says they are more ill)
physios and OTs seem to be trained to like things like shoulder angle measurements or performance on a specific task for a stroke. And we aren’t just talking envelope size and has that changed (and do we measure that over say a fortnight or a month? And then check PEM hasn’t been triggered, how do we know it wasn’t over-threshold without a test etc?) but maybe there are other aspects. So tests that are one task where people will just compensate by showering less rigorously or being slower the next day at x fir having spent their energy on y task said physio will assess misses the point.
that’s before we get started on the issue of explaining to readers they need to be looking at each subjects’
change in envelope over that year. Vs their activity vs individual threshold. And not just thinking they’ve proved themselves because they correlated those who did less (in preceding year) with being more severe.
We have to make them care about harms and actual outcomes to do that and not slip into sophism/false science based on naff pseudo correlations being misinterpreted. And I can’t think of any other way than making a clinical responsible lifetime-wise and to have ‘5yrs outcome’ as a reporting stat by which they are judged. To make making people more severe long-term something they are as invested in as patients.
but then we have the circular what is that measured on? And how could that end up with fudging and coercion of patients to perform or say the right thing