"Bizarrely unbalanced group - not a single flat earth conspiracy theorist, climate change denier or psychic healer."


"Bizarrely unbalanced group - not a single flat earth conspiracy theorist, climate change denier or psychic healer."
Thanks. I needed that laugh."Bizarrely unbalanced group - not a single flat earth conspiracy theorist, climate change denier or psychic healer."
Yet another in the long tedious trail of failures that I had forgotten about. There are so many of them.Carson’s statements are especially false and misleading because CBT has not only been conclusively demonstrated not to work for ME/CFS (PACE) but also for FND. The CODES trial for FND was a PACE-like effort led by the usual KCL crowd and the primary endpoint was negative despite the huge sample size. It was negative because they arrogantly chose an objective outcome measure (reduction in the number of nonepileptic seizures). Of course a host of crappy unblinded self report questionnaires were favouring the CBT group as you’d expect due to bias.
They've got a lot of theories, just no evidence for any of it.
Dave, I think you have specificity and sensitivity the wrong way around. Or at least, not everything you have written there can logically be true.(Specificity and sensitivity are complicated. In brief, the first is a measure of whether a true positive case is correctly identified by a positive test and the second is a measure of whether a true negative case is correctly identified by a negative test. There is often a trade-off between the two, but the best tests are those that measure close to 100% on both. I realize this mini-explanation will leave many a bit perplexed. Sorry!!)”
If Hoover’s sign has high diagnostic specificity for functional leg weakness, the corollary is that other conditions would rarely generate a positive result—or never, if the specificity were 100%. But if clinicians are relying on a claim of specificity that is inflated or exaggerated, other diagnoses that might explain a positive Hoover’s sign could potentially be overlooked and missed.
google said:Sensitivity refers to a test's ability to designate an individual with disease as positive. A highly sensitive test means that there are few false negative results, and thus fewer cases of disease are missed. The specificity of a test is its ability to designate an individual who does not have a disease as negative.
These implications raise a key question: Is the research into the diagnostic reliability of Hoover’s sign robust? As it turns out, the answer is—not really, despite the sign’s venerable history. The evidence base is very thin—as I explain below. Two issues are immediately apparent. First, the few studies that have been done only included handfuls of FND patients; the most authoritative validation study of Hoover’s sign had eight FND patients. Beyond that, studies were designed in a circular fashion, with Hoover’s sign apparently serving in many or all cases as a diagnostic tool initially as well as being the object of epidemiological investigation.
Dr Putrino, whose interview with me prompted Dr Perez’ tweets, said this:
“A positive Hoover’s sign basically shows us that, for whatever reason, someone is unable to initiate a voluntary muscle contraction but that they have intact spinal reflexes. There are so many things that can go wrong with the nervous system to cause this that are easily missed during a mainstream neurological exam, especially if you have a bias towards diagnosing ‘conversion disorder.’ So to immediately and over-confidently assume that a positive Hoover’s sign means ‘functional neurological disorder’ is emblematic of the sort of thinking that we would associate with a clinician who is light on anatomical knowledge.”
Jonathan Edwards, an emeritus professor of medicine at University College London, agreed that Hoover’s sign could play a role in patient assessment but that it was unwarranted to suggest it had such high specificity:
“There is no doubt that there are people with neurological symptoms that have to be assigned to unexplained central problems. There is also no doubt that in some cases the defect seems to relate more to conscious conceptions than any neuroanatomy. Sometimes signs like Hoover’s sign are quite remarkably salient. From my perspective here the problem is not with the idea that neurological symptoms can occur as a result of conscious or unconscious mental processes. The problem is the claim that anyone understands what is going on or that any such mysterious goings on can be reliably recognised with such signs.”
Dave, I think you have specificity and sensitivity the wrong way around. Or at least, not everything you have written there can logically be true.
Sensitivity (true positive rate) is the probability of a positive test result, conditioned on the individual truly being positive.
Specificity (true negative rate) is the probability of a negative test result, conditioned on the individual truly being negative.
Regardless of which way round the terms go, I don't think all of what you have written there can be correct.Dave Tuller's blog said:(Specificity and sensitivity are complicated. In brief, the first is a measure of whether a true positive case is correctly identified by a positive test and the second is a measure of whether a true negative case is correctly identified by a negative test. There is often a trade-off between the two, but the best tests are those that measure close to 100% on both. I realize this mini-explanation will leave many a bit perplexed. Sorry!!)”
If Hoover’s sign has high diagnostic specificity for functional leg weakness, the corollary is that other conditions would rarely generate a positive result—or never, if the specificity were 100%. But if clinicians are relying on a claim of specificity that is inflated or exaggerated, other diagnoses that might explain a positive Hoover’s sign could potentially be overlooked and missed.
Wikipedia:
Regardless of which way round the terms go, I don't think all of what you have written there can be correct.
Even if the claim of a high ability to identify positive cases as positive was true, it could still be the case that lots of people with something else are being incorrectly diagnosed.
They've got a lot of theories, just no evidence for any of it.
But the "theories" are beloved and infinitely believed. And they call it evidence-based medicine. Frankly, I can't wait enough for our medical AI overlords, even with all the risk to civilization, they can't do any worst than this sorry excuse for a "system" that is regressing before our eyes. While technology is accelerating at unprecedented pace, no less. Everything political is regressing, everything technological is progressing rapidly. And medicine is mostly regressing, despite some progress at the cutting edge. Says a lot about where it sits.
Loosely related, but I'm honestly at the point where if anyone talks about "gold standard" anything in healthcare, I just assume it's quackery and process all of it as fart noises in my head. Words rarely come this empty.
Even if the claim of a high ability to identify positive cases as positive was true, it could still be the case that lots of people with something else are being incorrectly diagnosed.
It is! But I kept it mysterious to avoid politics.Assuming this is a reference to the famous line reported to have been said by Rudy Guiliani during his campaign to overturn the 2020 US election
Love this line.
Wikipedia said:Sensitivity (true positive rate) is the probability of a positive test result, conditioned on the individual truly being positive.
Specificity (true negative rate) is the probability of a negative test result, conditioned on the individual truly being negative.
Specificity is, if you have 100 people without a disease, how many of them will be correctly identified as not having the disease on the basis of the test? How specific is the thing that is being measured as a sign of the disease? If the test is diagnosing everyone with funny walking as having FND, then it's not very specific to FND. So, it's not a 'measure of whether a true positive case is correctly identified by a positive test', as you wrote.the blog said:(Specificity and sensitivity are complicated. In brief, the first is a measure of whether a true positive case is correctly identified by a positive test and the second is a measure of whether a true negative case is correctly identified by a negative test. There is often a trade-off between the two, but the best tests are those that measure close to 100% on both. I realize this mini-explanation will leave many a bit perplexed. Sorry!!)”
If Hoover’s sign has high diagnostic specificity for functional leg weakness, the corollary is that other conditions would rarely generate a positive result—or never, if the specificity were 100%. But if clinicians are relying on a claim of specificity that is inflated or exaggerated, other diagnoses that might explain a positive Hoover’s sign could potentially be overlooked and missed.
Sorry.