The human, workforce, and financial costs of preventable ill-health represent a ticking time bomb for the UK economy. While increased life expectancy is good news, projections show that the average adult will, in the future, need
10 years of social care. Decision makers may not grasp the true scale of this challenge, since today’s social care costs have been obscured by 1980s property windfalls. Future generations—and future governments—will not have this cushion.
As with so much else in the NHS, the key to addressing this impending crisis lies in prevention over cure. Yet no one really talks about preventing the need for social care at source, rather than accepting spiralling quality of life and a soaring bill for the Exchequer.
Older people who become, or remain physically active, are least likely to need social care, but
47% of older people do no exercise at all.
Getting older and becoming frail are two different things; frailty can usually be prevented with exercise. And bucking this trend does not necessarily mean packing pensioners off to pump iron at the gym. Moving from no activity to just a little activity—walking briskly every day to the shop, rather than driving, for example—has been shown to yield the single greatest gain in health and wellbeing.