Kitty
Senior Member (Voting Rights)
It doesn't mention PEM but this could explain part of the unpredictability of PEM. If you keep to what appears like a safe level of activity, what might be happening is that exercise intolerance develops and the PEM threshold decreases. This exercise intolerance could build up slowly over weeks.
For me at least, my underlying level of energy impairment is probably more important. I don't developed additional exercise intolerance (above and beyond whatever is normal when I start the activity) until the underlying impairment changes.
Typically, I can do low-level activity pretty consistently for several years without getting better or worse at it, and then something shifts and I have to stop. The change is often prompted by getting a virus, after which I don't return to the level of function I had previously. It can last anything from six months to eight years, after which I improve again slowly.