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  1. Barry

    Coronavirus - worldwide spread and control

    This paper "SPI-M-O: Consensus view on public gatherings" ... https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/873748/12-spi-m-o-consensus-view-on-public-gatherings.pdf ... seems to work on the assumption that people parachute into their seats. In...
  2. Barry

    Coronavirus - worldwide spread and control

    It's a bit like a massive invading army marching its way towards you, but as yet you have only so far encountered small platoons of their advance forces. Instead of heeding what your own scouts are telling you - that a massive invasion is following on behind, and you absolutely must prepare...
  3. Barry

    Coronavirus - worldwide spread and control

    "New data has revealed that the United Kingdom has one of the highest coronavirus death rates in the world" ... https://www.euronews.com/2020/03/19/coronavirus-uk-has-3rd-highest-covid-19-death-rate-in-europe-on-a-par-with-china A 4% death rate amongst confirmed cases. Presumably there are...
  4. Barry

    Coronavirus - worldwide spread and control

    Has anyone mentioned the possibility of requisitioning the services of private hospitals as emergency NHS facilities? The government keeps talking about the impending acute shortage of NHS facilities for emergency treatment of Covid-19 victims. But there must presumably be a significant pool of...
  5. Barry

    Coronavirus - worldwide spread and control

    Can't help thinking they choose advisers that tell them what they want to hear.
  6. Barry

    Coronavirus - worldwide spread and control

    [my bold] It's been accelerating all along, not just now, and plenty of people have been saying so; just because the actual numbers were smaller to begin with does not change that. Should have listened to people who told them well beforehand that if you double the numbers every few days, then...
  7. Barry

    Simon Wessely on Covid-19

    No, will probably be their fault for not trying hard enough.
  8. Barry

    Coronavirus - worldwide spread and control

    For anyone not sure what exponential growth is (I appreciate many here do know) then this is an interesting little insight. Suppose you have a sheet of paper, and that sheet of is a tenth of a millimetre thick. Now suppose you could fold it in half, and then fold that in half, and keep folding...
  9. Barry

    Coronavirus - worldwide spread and control

    Mainly because those who are supposed lead, and to either understand or listen to those who understand what exponential increase really means ... have not. Instead it's been dithering and mumbling procrastination, and now we are told the time is right to start clamping down when ... no ... the...
  10. Barry

    Coronavirus: Advice from ME organisations

    A question @Jonathan Edwards please. I appreciate that for bacterial infections antibiotics can in many cases kill off the bacteria, and so assist the patient's recovery. For viral infections am I right in thinking that there are no medicines that can directly disable the virus itself? Is...
  11. Barry

    Coronavirus - worldwide spread and control

    To me this has similarities to industrial process control. If you have a fast, high'ish-order system controlled to a point well away from where the system would naturally revert to, and then suddenly remove that control, the system will then rocket away to revert to that point, and potentially...
  12. Barry

    Coronavirus - worldwide spread and control

    Indeed. Never one to ignore an opportunity.
  13. Barry

    Coronavirus - worldwide spread and control

    I'm sure her response to this would be that Covid-19 is not perpetuated by unhelpful beliefs.
  14. Barry

    Coronavirus - worldwide spread and control

    I imagine that trying to stop an epidemic is a bit like trying to stop a stampede - the best-chance time to stop it is before it really gets going.
  15. Barry

    Coronavirus - worldwide spread and control

    UK to ban mass gatherings in coronavirus U-turn https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/mar/13/uk-to-ban-mass-gatherings-in-coronavirus-u-turn
  16. Barry

    Coronavirus: Advice from ME organisations

    Our daughter is 30 years old, a single mum with two young children. She has been an asthma sufferer since childhood and carries inhalers, and is therefore in one of the at-risk groups. She lives 150 miles away from us. I worry that if she contracts Covid-19 and has to self-isolate, if hits her...
  17. Barry

    Coronavirus - worldwide spread and control

    Fergus Walsh just reported that the reason there would be no point closing schools is because children do not significantly spread the virus. Is this true? If so, is there a correlation between that and the fact it is far less detrimental to children?
  18. Barry

    Coronavirus - worldwide spread and control

    Yes, that and maybe that they are more likely to attend large multi-national social and business gatherings also. Maybe just being on an aircraft is also an issue, with many people sharing the same enclosed airspace. Although fresh air is constantly being drawn in, I don't know what the air...
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