Still thinking aloud on the question of predicting recovery from covid-19.
1) We still don't know whether prolonged post-viral fatigue and ME are the same thing or not. They sure look similar as far as symptoms go but is the underlying pathology really the same? Is PVF an early form of ME or...
There are a number of studies underway trying to use consumer wearables to predict onset of covid19 early. Can they be convinced to extend their studies to include predicting recovery, or failure thereof, too?
It should be easy for them to look at activity patterns before, during and after...
Very much so.
I wasn't thinking about PwME, they'd be eligible anyway with or without code (just easier with the code). I was more concerned about random people cottoning on to it and abusing it, and sharing it on social media, which could then backfire if Countdown gets overloaded by false...
Should the above be in a public thread @Hutan?
I received two emails about it, one from ANZMES and one from my local group, so I imagine other members of either ANZMES or a local group would have the information already.
They've significantly ramped up the number of tests they can do in a day and have just started testing everybody who presents with symptoms (but not asymptomatic people though there is talk of possible random testing in the future). Up until now it was only people who'd been overseas or who had...
NZ's Ministry of Health has published their latest modelling reports (and they aren't pretty though we still have a chance to avoid the worst):
https://www.health.govt.nz/publication/covid-19-modelling-reports
Related article:
More at...
And if Covid-19 patients are at risk of developing ME that risk increases if recovering patients are pushed into GET...
So yes, the update of the guidelines - removing GET recommendations - would be a relevant response to Covid19.
I think we all agree that some mistakes were made. IMO the worst one was giving people a few days notice of the 14-day self-isolation requirement. That requirement should have been applied a) earlier and b) with immediate effect. Giving advance notice resulted in all those thousands of people...
This could come in useful given one major reason for not testing more people is a shortage of reagents to perform the tests. In a different (Danish news) piece it was reported that they tested the new method against the existing one and got the same result in 97 out of 100 tests. Not perfect but...
I'm actually more worried about the people who haven't been travelling. The travellers arriving back are much more acutely aware that they could be infected and therefore more likely to be careful about not infecting anybody else. But of course, the tighter the quarantine the better, there'll...
A couple of weeks ago I would have agreed with your worries. Back then there was a bit too much reliance on trust regarding self-isolation. A neighbouring rural fire brigade had to be stood down after having to cut a tourist out of his crashed car. He should have been isolating but had chosen...
Yeah, I hope it's going to be quicker, too, but of course it all depends on how well people comply with the restrictions.
I agree that Siouxsie's lag model makes some simplified assumptions, which I'm sure she's well aware of. I think she's trying to keep it simple since her target audience is...
Preprint (not peer reviewed), open access
https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.03.11.20031096v2
Relationship between the ABO Blood Group and the COVID-19 Susceptibility
Jiao Zhao (and many more), 27 March 2020
Chinese study on Chinese patients - blood group distribution differs by...
I think Kiwis will always be allowed to return but they will have to isolate on arrival.
Some of the scientists advising the government are arguing very strongly for keeping borders closed for a very long time. Undoubtedly there'll be others, likely from the industries most affected, lobbying...
A good explanation of the lag time between taking measures and seeing a result (with some moving graphics on the page).
https://thespinoff.co.nz/politics/27-03-2020/siouxsie-wiles-toby-morris-why-are-we-locked-down-for-so-long-blame-the-lag/
Interested in comments about the "medical care considerations letter" in the resources. Sensible to take to the doctor/hospital or more likely to backfire?
As an aside, if you have a person in your life who still doesn't get it about handwashing, scroll down to the bottom of the resources page...
Guess we won't really know for a couple of weeks. The health authorities keep saying to expect cases to rise for at least another 10 days or so, possibly into the thousands.
This seems to be some of the modelling data they're using, not dissimilar to the Imperial College study...
I have only skimmed the article but I think they actually use the terms FSS* and MUS in the way they should be used, neutrally, as in "here is something we can't yet explain with the tests we've used to date - so let's look a bit closer with some new tests to see if there isn't something after...
I don't have the snps on your list (Dante) but I do have some others on the ABCC6 gene.
Have attached screenshot of list, in case it's of any use (note that 1 snp is listed twice, once as pathogenic, once as benign :confused:).
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