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FWIW: According to this model, the predicted peak in daily deaths from Covid-19 in the US should have occured yesterday, April 10. In the UK, the model predicts the peak of daily deaths to occur on April 17. US https://covid19.healthdata.org/united-states-of-america UK...

I've been following the number of total predicted deaths in the US using the model at https://covid19.healthdata.org/projections. [This is probably the foremost model that's being used in the US.] On Sunday (4/5) the total predicted deaths from Covid-19 in the US was 93,531. On Monday (4/6)...

I suspect it is a play on "fin de siècle," with "arc de siècle" meaning the "arc of the century," probably meaning "the course of the century" which would make sense if the paper is about how the perception of FND changed over the course of the 20th century - - which might well be "full circle"...

Dr. Ian Lipkin appeared today on a business news program which had some technical difficulties. Of his infection with the virus, Lipkin said he was "out of the end of the tunnel" and doing well (with a bit of a cough). He also spoke about the medical community being very creative in terms of...

There's an interesting set of modeled projection curves for all 50 US States individually, and for the country as a whole, here: https://covid19.healthdata.org/projections To see individual states, click on the "United States of America" tab at the top of the screen. The models are produced by...

I wonder how long the virus can survive on an N95 mask. It seems like you could sequester the masks in a circular chain for that period of time and then use them again once their "quarantine" period was up. I believe the article above on machine sterilization says that the masks themselves can...

Boston hospitals getting ‘game changer’ machine that sterilizes 80,000 protective masks a day https://www.bostonglobe.com/2020/04/02/metro/boston-hospitals-getting-game-changer-machine-that-sterilizes-80000-protective-masks-day/

In his recent interview on TWIV (@ 32:30) Ian Lipkin spoke about a small 2003 study in Beijing on whether face masks (surgical or N95) had a "dramatic" impact on community transmission. Despite the small study size, he found the results "compelling" because there was a "dose response." People...

I don't imagine anyone would want to volunteer for this for the sake of a study, but, were it possible to do spinal fluid studies on recovering patients, it might be interesting to see if any have mildly elevated protein levels and if that increases the odds of developing post-viral fatigue or...

I didn't mean to suggest that the virulence of an infective strain was the only thing that could produce severe symptoms in the initiating phase. Concurrent factors, like being in a state of exhaustion prior to getting an infection, or trying to continue to exert yourself during an infection...

Found this article from Feb 6th of this year: Researchers Find Cell-Free Mitochondria Floating in Human Blood Well, it's something... and it's in the blood... :cautious:

It's amazing, considering how many blood tests I've had over the years, that I have no idea what my blood type is. Looking over the blood test reports, not one of them indicates blood type. I imagine it's a special test, which may not have much utility unless you need a transfusion. I'm sure...

Well-known, famous people with ME/CFS (public thread) ******* Re Ian Lipkin https://www.foxnews.com/us/dr-ian-lipkin-consultant-contagion-coronavirus

I think that's true. The store I mentioned above and some others have reduced their hours (basically closing at 8PM instead of midnight). The store said it gives them time to restock their shelves. When I heard that I thought that the idea might be to try to reduce panic buying by having full...

One of my local grocery stores (in the US) was only letting 10 people in the door every 10 minutes. I'm not sure if that was intended to promote "social distancing" or if it may have been a kind psychological strategy based on the assumption that large crowds promote panic buying. At any rate, I...

I guess this is just an N=1 anecdote, but a couple of years ago I decided to try to look into the 1983 US flu season, the time at which I developed "the worst flu of my life," which was closely followed on by my onset of ME. I believe the Dubbo study relied on subjective patient assessments of...

Oh, it's behind a paywall. Good.

I think it may be Nature's way of telling us to keep the animals we want to live with (or consume) away from bats.

Near me, they are closing schools, but, realizing that both parents may have jobs, they are making plans to look after children... by gathering them together at schools. :confused:

That's a great video! I've also run across references to a concept originating in the 19th century called "Farr's Law," which asserts that the upslope of an epidemic's curve is mirrored in shape and duration by its downslope. This seems to hold true even in "epidemics" that are not spread by...