2003 - Chalder, Wessely, etc. A randomised controlled trial of a psycho-educational intervention to aid recovery in infectious mononucleosis

This is a repost of something I wrote about 8 years ago, but that post appears to have been damaged, images lost, etc, so I've attempted to rebuild it as Chalder has just cited this study misleadingly in her lecture on her 30 year career: https://www.s4me.info/threads/13-march-2019-chalder-‘medically-unexplained-symptoms’-my-clinical-and-research-journey-over-30-years.5576/page-3#post-152241. I've edited things a bit as, sadly, some of the examples of the PACE researchers misusing this study have now been lost - always archive webpages! It was done with assistance from a few people, particularly Klára aka 'Purple', who sadly passed away recently.

https://web.archive.org/web/20110517130355/https://www.kcl.ac.uk/content/1/c6/01/47/68/EBVRCT.pdf

I've seen this study often mentioned as evidence that it's how patients respond to their illness, rather than the infection itself which is most important in determining levels of long-term disability.

It's a bit of a rubbish design, with only the intervention group getting therapist time, but the control group getting a leaflet. I've seen these results being promoted as if they were really dramatic, but if you look at the differences, much of it could be explained by those whose fatigue improved in the 'intervention group' being more willing to fill in questionnaires at six months than the 'control group'. At 12 months, when both groups have more similar rates of return, the level of fatigue reported are pretty similar:

Considering this was not well controlled, and at 12 months there was no statistical difference between the levels of fatigue reported between the two groups, I think it would be fair to laugh at anyone trying to present this study as really compelling evidence for anything.

They actually mentioned this problem in the paper:

I know Peter White strangely forgot to mention those problems when he discussed this study from around fourteen minutes in here [archived page doesn't seem to have video:
https://web.archive.org/web/20151003120222/http://www.scivee.tv/node/6895

White also cites this study in his presentation for the Gibson Parliamentary Group that was looking in to the research around ME/CFS, and reported concerns about the links between the insurance industry and researchers (White being a prominent example of this). I wonder if their report would have been harsher had they not been misled about the value of psychosocial interventions:

https://web.archive.org/web/20160829001838/http://erythos.com/gibsonenquiry/Docs/White.ppt

Seems a bit misleading to claim "Educational intervention, based on graded return to activity, halved the incidence of prolonged fatigue" considering that there was no statistical difference between the two groups at twelve months.

Chalder also cites this paper in this presentation here:
https://web.archive.org/web/20140809045651/http://www.mental-health-forum.co.uk/assets/files/11.20 Trudie Chalder FINAL 169FORMAT.pdf




Strangely her graph does not include the data from 12 months in. Purple did a more complete graph [her figures also show the difference in the % of those providing data at 6 months between the groups]:




More useful when complete, but rather less impressive.

That last Chalder presentation was from 2012. That this trial with 36 people in the therapy group which found no statistical difference between the group receiving therapist time and the group who just got a leaflet, and it is still being used by them to sell their expertise a decade after it was completed is indicative of the quality of evidence they have to support their claims.

It is even possible for the control group to be viewed as a nocebo:

If they theorise that fear related to viral infection is a significant factor in CFS, they could have expected such a leaflet to have a negative affect, of reduced any desire to be positive in ones questionnaires (depending upon what exactly the leaflet said).

So many of their results just look like homeopathy to me - act nice to patients and get slightly better questionnaire results because i) those who are feeling better are more likely to feel grateful and so complete their forms and ii) people tend to try to be positive about those who they think have tried to help them.

And people wonder why patients don't trust White and Chalder to present the data from the PACE trial in a fair and reasonable manner.

PS: The more stuff I read from around the time I got ill, the more pissed I get at the poor evidence base for the advice I was given. If they were that ignorant as to what I should be doing, they should have just been honest about it and left me to do whatever I thought was best instead of incompetently managing the psychosocial setting of my illness and promoting 'positive' cognitions - bloody bastards.

 

Chalder uses the same slide (missing the twelve month data) in this 2016 talk [slide 14]:

https://web.archive.org/web/2015123...lder-Cognitive-behavioral-therapy-for-CFS.pdf

Then in a talk a few days ago (March 2019) Chalder said:

https://www.s4me.info/threads/13-ma...journey-over-30-years.5576/page-3#post-152193